Archive for the 'Environment' Category

The graph goes up not down

Tuesday, January 19th, 2010

Andrew Bolt continues to use a certain graph to confirm his hypothesis that there is no such thing as global warming.
UAH_LT_1979_thru_Nov_09
Much to the great frustration and amusement of many people who are far more knowledgeable than me the graph does not show what Andrew Bolt believes it does.

Even blind Freddy can see the overall trend of this graph is positive. I would use this graph as proof of global warming. Using it as proof against global warming is frankly… bizarre to say the least.

“But the graph shows the world has got cooler since 2001…” Anyone that did statistics at high school would know to look at the trend not at the peaks and troughs.

In the sport of diving they remove by the highest and lowest scores for determining the average in an effort to eliminate bias. I’m not saying the peaks and troughs should be ignored, but when viewing the graph people should understand that there is a natural variance from year to year and just like biased judges they will be far higher or lower than average.

Recently Andrew Bolt has been caught fudging the figures and blatantly misrepresenting the data. He needs to be held to account just like any journalist would be for peddling lies, but instead he continually gets held up as a representation of the conservative viewpoint.

I would find this funny if it wasn’t such a serious issue. Anyway, I will make sure I keep my calculator handy in case I run into Andrew Bolt.

Natural Mysteries: Ignorance

Friday, January 8th, 2010

Last night I was watching, Natural Mysteries: killer whale attack. I was absolutely dumbfounded by the stupidity of the commentary on the show. It was about a pod of killer whales in a particular bay in California. The killer whales would separate a gray whale mother from its calf and then kill and eat it. This apparently was unheard of behaviour.

What a bunch of fucking bullshit. They are called killer whales because like all other animals they need to eat and their choice of food is: other whales. Unfortunately, before a whale can be eaten it needs to be killed. It isn’t exactly a mystery when a killer whale kills and eats a whale. Or you can’t be bothered using your brain today it can be boiled down to 2 words: killer and (wait for it) whale.

This sort of thing really explains the ignorance of some young people these days. Kids who don’t know who Gandhi is or that the Lord of the Rings movies were based on a book (true story).

I guess you can’t expect an 18-year-old to know everything, but when a person has been through university, risen up the ranks, created their own documentary and are still not aware of the simplest fact, that is something else.

I laughed when a friend of mine said our civilisation was crumbling, but now I wonder…

The Flat Earth Party

Sunday, November 29th, 2009

There are a few things I don’t understand about these rabid climate change sceptics that are tearing apart the Liberal party at the moment.

1. Why the Earth is Flat

Forget the science, forget the sceptics, forget the climate change evangelists, forget the climate cliques, cables and secret societies. The whole debate boils down to a very simple idea.

Remember 20 years ago when there were people around who were still a little sceptical about the dangers of smoking. Back then I would say to smokers, “Breathing in smoke is never going to be good for you.” All the science of the anti-smoking lobby did is prove what any person with half a brain could have figured out for themselves.

The climate change debate is exactly the same. Is cutting down half the Earth’s rainforest going to be good for the environment or bad? Is paving over a surprisingly large percentage of the Earth’s surface going to be good or bad? Digging up coal and sucking oil out of the ground and burning it is going to affect the environment, no?

There is such a thing as natural climate change, but to suggest that humans do not have any meaningful impact? Well you better start smoking because cigarettes do not cause cancer. You haven’t seen proof that the earth is round, better start believing it is flat – just to be safe.

2. Who’s your sceptic?

It continues to amaze me the impact that green house sceptics have. It seems to me that most of them are geologists who at one time or other worked for the coal or oil industry. Scientists are sceptical by nature; they have to be as they are continually having to come up with new ways of testing each other’s theories.

A theory is only valid if it can stand up to testing and experiment. In this scientific world it is very difficult if not impossible for a lie or mistake to go undetected for long. It is only after a theory has been tested by multiple individual scientists and universities that anybody outside that world ever hears of it.

The theory of man-made global warming has undergone more testing than any other theory you can think of. It is different from many other theories in that it is difficult to perform experiments on, as we don’t have more than one Earth. Instead scientists use increasingly detailed simulations. They are also able to find ways of looking into the Earth’s past, such as analysing gases trapped in Antarctic ice for thousands of years.

The average person isn’t going to understand the intricate detail of the science. We are not scientists, but we can come up with thought experiments like mine above to figure it out. We can also choose to believe science. You believe in science every day when you drive your car or use your computer. Science is more than a group of nerdy men and women, it is a system that has given us amazing things. In this world it is really the only thing we can trust.

What these liberal rebels don’t understand, is that if you don’t know you should defer to an expert, preferably an expert whose work has been backed up by other experts.

3. It All Comes Down To Warcraft

I think that the many Australian politicians who are sceptical of climate change believe that it doesn’t really matter if they are wrong, because Australia only releases 1% of the world’s greenhouse gases. This assertion appears correct when you first look at it, but under analysis it is quickly proved false. Consider this example:

A few years ago my brother and I were playing World of Warcraft. WoW was all about killing monsters. Some monsters are so big they require cooperation to beat them. For the biggest monsters 40 players would need to gather together and form a raid group. Every player would need to do as much damage as magically possible to bring down the boss.

One day my guild was completing the dungeon Molten Core. We had one more monster to kill his name was Ragnaros. We were all there ready to kill the monster, but one guy’s mum wants him to go walk the dog – now or else. So 39 of us start killing the monster and we are succeeding. We get him down to 50% health and after a bit longer 9%. At this stage people start dying and the amount of damage that the group can deal plunges down. The numbers tick down slower and slower. Finally we get to 1% and the last one of us dies.

What this example shows us is that: everybody needs to do their bit. If every other country that only releases 1% emissions also decided to do nothing – that really would matter.

4. Did John Howard Complain?

I don’t understand how the Liberal rebels are unable to follow what the majority of their party has decided. I’m not sure if they fully respect democratic tradition. The majority decide on a course of action and those in the minority have to respect it -without resorting to drastic measures. When John Howard was in charge there was no way in hell that this would have been allowed to happen. When Howard lost his seat he respected what his electorate had decided and he never complained.

The rebels are also going against what the majority of Australians want. They seem to think they know better. Or they are playing some strange political game that involves tearing apart the party they were elected to represent.

RIP Liberal party

I am not the biggest fan of the Liberal party, but I will feel sad if it does die. Australians don’t like it when political parties are unable to contain internal disagreement – look at the Democrats.

One of the things that makes Australia such a good place would have to be its political stability. I believe the two-party system plays a big part in this even if it pisses us off sometimes. One thing I am just itching to see is the polls – although it isn’t difficult to predict which way the Liberal party will have gone.

Maybe a new party will form led by Tony Abbott. It doesn’t take a climate change scientist to figure out what that party should be called…

Windfarm Whingers

Thursday, September 3rd, 2009

It seems totally bizarre to me that there are people protesting against the wind farm to be built near Colac, Victoria. There are protest movements around the world against the creation of wind farms. Some people find them ugly and claim they make noise that keeps them up at night. Some environmentalists claim they kill birds and bats.

Contrary to what a lot of these protesters believe windfarms do not create a lot of noise. There are many videos on YouTube that prove this, at least to my satisfaction.

Recently there is a new complaint against windfarms. Apparently windfarms create massive amounts of infra-sound that can cause a very rare and little-known illness called vibroacoustic disease. This sounds very plausible, but there are several things wrong about this theory.

1. Every scholarly article you find about vibroacoustic disease appears to be co-authored by the same man, Dr. Nuno Castelo Branco. This is a problem because until there is a number of papers supporting the theory that infra-sound can cause disease it can only be considered conjecture. There doesn’t seem to be agreement in the medical or scientific community that the disease exists at all.
2. If infra-sound from windmills created disease hospitals would be filling up around the world. Just as some people believed, and some continue to believe that mobile phones can cause brain cancer, but there is no epidemic even though virtually everybody in the Western world uses a mobile phone.
3. There are many other sources of infra-sound the wind itself for one. There are many machines that we live with every day that create huge amounts of infra-sound. How come this does not seem to cause any ill effect?
4. Some animals such as whales and elephants use infra-sound to communicate. If infra-sound is damaging to life surely these animals would have died out or stop using infra-sound to communicate.

Even though there is virtually no scientific evidence to say that infra-sound could be damaging there is also no scientific evidence to say that it isn’t damaging. Being a scientific person I’m forced to say there is a very remote chance it could be damaging. Any concerns about sound, infra or otherwise, can be solved by situating windfarms away from houses. The Colac windfarm will be situated on grazing land between Mount Gellibrand and the Princess Highway – not in residential areas.

There are people against any kind of new technology. People by their nature are also scared of change. When the printing press was brought to Europe it helped spark some of the worst wars the world has ever seen. These days people are far more open-minded, but there are still those that use the fear of job loss, disease and large corporations changing the landscape to resist development.

There are pundits who use the results of a Spanish study to say that windfarms cost jobs. The study authors claim that for every one green job created two are lost. In subsidising the cost of creating green power the cost of electricity goes up. Companies have to pay more for energy and therefore employ less people. But the fact is we don’t all live in Spain. Companies can always increase efficiency and reduce energy wastage saving money. They can also install solar panels reducing the need for electricity from the grid and getting paid for the energy they return to said grid. The green energy jobs knife cuts both ways. By supporting the green energy industry in a given country that country could become an exporter of green technology creating more jobs.

Another complaint about windfarms is the way big corporations seem to have overtaken the industry and claim to be making large profits from green energy. The green energy industry is subsidised and of course those subsidies to go to help windfarms achieve a profit. But there are also average people making a profit from windfarms, such as the farmers that allow turbines to be built on their properties. Subsidies are needed to encourage the development of green energy projects – even if you ignore global warming. We need to transfer over to renewable energy simply because fossil fuels are finite. All those electric cars need to get their electricity from somewhere.

Windfarms make a positive difference for the environment. They are needed to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels and to help battle climate change. Even if you are a climate change sceptic you cannot deny that fossil fuels, particularly oil, are running out. Possible possible disease affects from infra-sound can be completely eliminated by situating windmills away from people. Offshore windfarms are ultimate solution out of view of everyone except fishermen. Yes some birds may get killed by wind turbines, but climate change kills animals too. Windfarm protesters really do have very little to complain about, but of course this won’t stop them.

Global Warming is a Fact

Tuesday, March 17th, 2009

The first rain in over three months has finally put an end to the Victorian bushfire crisis. It has now been a month since Black Saturday when thousands of homes were destroyed and over 200 people lost their lives.
 
I think it is now time to talk about what created the conditions that led up to a series of the worst firestorms Australia has ever seen.
 
The highest temperature ever recorded in Victoria of 46.6°C (115.9°F) occurred on Black Saturday the 7th of February, 2009. There had been over a decade of drought and it had not rained for three months previously. Just a week before Black Saturday, between the 28th and 30th of January there were three days in a row over 43°C (110°F), something that has never happened before in Melbourne.
 
I believe these three days were the biggest contributors to the perfect fire conditions on Black Saturday. These three over 43°C days caused severe heat stress and outright killed many plants. Many of the trees survived one of these days, but after two they were dead and after three they looked like they had been baked in an oven. The leaves on many of these plants did not have a single drop of moisture left in them and would crumble in your hand. Like a tree that had been dead for some time, but these plants had been very alive just a few days before. These trees became perfect fire Material. I’ve spoken to many people who’ve lived their entire lives in Melbourne and have never seen heat damage on this scale ever.
 
These extraordinary days also had a terrible effect on the wildlife. Ringtail possums were falling dead out of the trees. Koalas entered backyards desperately seeking water – koalas rarely drink water receiving most of their moisture from the eucalyptus leaves they eat. Koalas also usually steer clear of humans – as far as I know this behaviour is unprecedented.
 
Very low humidity coupled with very dry forests and gale force winds created a perfect firestorm.
All these events proved to me that global warming is a fact. Anyone who denies it is either a liar or an idiot and should be ignored. If only a few degrees can help create the worst firestorms Australia has ever seen, what would a few extra do? The extra heat would kill entire forests. When trees die and rot they release carbon dioxide that causes the world’s temperature to increase killing more trees. It is a snowball effect that could have terrible consequences.

If climate change is making such a huge difference I think it is way too late to think about trying to reduce our ‘carbon footprint.’ It will be too little too late. More extreme measures need to be taken. The earth is sick. It is time for it to take its medicine. I think Geo engineering is the only way to fix this without having more catastrophic consequences. Just like an obese person takes cholesterol-lowering medication so they can keep living while they eat healthily, exercise and eventually lose the weight.

Geo engineering is the process of using technology to diminish the amount of heat entering Earth’s atmosphere. One idea is to pump sulphur dioxide into the upper atmosphere mimicking the way a large volcanic eruption reduces the global temperature. The best thing about this method is something very similar already happens naturally and it is proven to work.

Some environmentalists and those on the far right who believe in global cooling really hate this proposal, but I do not think we have a lot of choice.

There are several problems with geo engineering:
1.) Who controls Earth’s thermostat? Invariably an international organisation would need to be set up to organise geo engineering efforts and to prevent countries and other organisations going it alone.
2.) It may be used as an excuse to keep releasing carbon dioxide.
3.) There will be side-effects.
4.) Geo engineering would do nothing about other problems caused by a high atmospheric carbon dioxide level such as ocean acidification that causes coral bleaching and the death of marine micro-organisms.

I believe the problems of geo engineering will not be as bad as doing nothing or solely relying on greenhouse gas reduction. Diets take time to time we don’t have. Geo engineering efforts must be coupled with other efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions or remove it from the atmosphere. It is purely a stop gap measure. Geo engineering would reduce global temperatures and hopefully prevent the death of forests that could cause a runaway greenhouse effect. It would also prevent the melting of ice caps and prevent the altering of ocean currents.

Black Saturday is a taste of what the future may hold if we do not make a greater effort to reduce global temperature.

Biofuel from Algae

Friday, June 6th, 2008

Biofuel made from food has always been a controversial idea in some circles. When I first heard of the idea I thought it sounded good – I was a supporter. But now there are several things that seriously tarnish the idea.

Ethanol is usually made from a feedstock consisting of corn, sugarcane or wheat. In many countries it is now mandated that motorists should be able to choose a fuel blend made up of 10% ethanol. Out of concern for the environment many motorists opt for this alternative. As more petrol is used throughout the world the price of oil goes up and so does ethanol. The feedstock that makes up this ethanol also rises in price. This means that people are hit by a double whammy. Food costs more to transport because fuel is more expensive, the food is also more expensive because it is also used to make the fuel.

Others say that making ethanol from food was always a bad idea. Agriculture is an industry that uses a lot of fuel. The question is: does the amount of fuel made from the crop outweigh the amount of fuel used to grow the crop? Some people say yes others no. Biofuel made from food will never be a solution that can replace oil. There is simply not enough arable land available. Sure we need liquid fuels, but the world also needs to eat.

The Biofuel industry is also being blamed for deforestation. In Indonesia some forests are being cut down to grow palm plantations. A large percentage of this palm oil is used to make biofuel.

All these problems could be fixed if another, more efficient to grow, biofuel feedstock could be found. I recently learnt that such a feedstock does exist. It is that often-derided green single celled organism, algae.

Companies such as Virgin Airlines and Airbus Industries are looking into algal fuels as a replacement for increasingly expensive jet fuel. Algal fuels are still an emerging technology, but there is a company in the United States, Greenfuel Technologies Corporation, already producing Biofuel from algae.

As this movie shows GreenFuel technologies have created a system that turns carbon dioxide from power plants into biofuel. The carbon dioxide is fed into a bio reactor that contains algae – photosynthesis does the rest. The algae can harvested regularly, processed and turned into bio diesel or ethanol.

The great thing about this system is it actually turns the carbon dioxide emitted from power plants into a valuable resource. The way the algae is grown does not require arable land so there is no competition with food crops.

Maybe this technology could solve many of the world’s problems, from lack of food to a viable alternative to oil.

Lied to and Betrayed by Labor

Wednesday, May 21st, 2008

I feel lied to and betrayed by the Labor government’s contempt for the environment and voters. During the election campaign Rudd kept telling us that Labor would improve Australia’s record on the environment. He told us how bad the Coalition was mistreating the environment with not signing Kyoto. Every second Labor press release took place in front of a bank of solar panels. What did this say to voters? Maybe that Labor would indeed be a party for the environment.

Now we have this budget. Means testing of the $8,000 solar panel rebate – those lying scum. What these Labor Party morons don’t understand is that this rebate was designed to help the environment not help rich people or poor people or ‘working families’. Another thing is, I don’t know anyone who earns under $100,000 who is contemplating installing solar panels. With rising fuel and grocery prices and higher interest rates, anyone who earns less than that just doesn’t have the spare cash to even think about solar panels. The $8,000 rebate made all the difference for so-called rich people to actually get solar panels installed.

Add to this the $57,000 luxury car tax – fuel-efficient vehicles are not exempt. This means the next generation of hybrid SUVs and vans will be slapped with a 25% tax. If Labor was really concerned about the environment they would tax cars on the amount of fuel they consume and maybe, heaven forbid, give us a subsidy for fuel-efficient vehicles.

And what does Peter Garrett have to say about this? That bald headed freak has finally flushed what was left of his credibility down the toilet. He has betrayed anything related to his previous life and is now every bit the filthy politician.

The Labor Party holds us voters in contempt – even more so than the previous government. Lied to us and betrayed us. A large percentage of people would have switched their vote over to Labor purely out of concern for the environment. The Labor Party’s ‘green’ actions and words during the election campaign and the adoption of Peter Garrett as their environment Minister lured many Australians into voting Labor. Now they spit in our face.

The Victims of Chernobyl Need Your Help!

Tuesday, May 6th, 2008

This morning I was asked to update the website of the Melbourne based Victims Of Chernobyl National Relief Fund. This organisation brings children that are from the irradiated area to give them a well needed holiday over seven weeks.

Unfortunately, the relief fund still needs several host families to look after children aged between 10 and 13 years of age.

If you are interested visit the website:
http://www.victimsofchernobyl.org.au/childrensvisit.php